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Red419
1305183.7
1360178.2
6864103.3
Blue267
2013121.5
6323145.8
5039125.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408250100200300500600700800419267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.70.7
179.8180.5
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
red by 37.9
6323
#11
145.80.5
144.7145.2
Auto16.1
Teleop107.6
End26.7
Second
178.20.9
173.1174.0
Auto21.8
Teleop133.7
End26.1
red by 52.7
5039
#25
125.50.3
126.1125.8
Auto15.4
Teleop96.5
End11.6
Third
6864
#26
103.30.3
104.5104.2
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End6.7
blue by 18.2
2013
#24
121.50.5
120.5121.0
Auto15.4
Teleop90.8
End19.1