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Red456
1305183.7
1360178.2
6864103.3
Blue245
2386137.9
865143.8
6336110.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404242100200300500600700456245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.70.6
181.7182.3
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
red by 39.9
865
#7
143.80.2
143.7143.8
Auto16.0
Teleop109.1
End20.2
Second
178.20.8
175.7176.5
Auto21.8
Teleop133.7
End26.1
red by 40.3
2386
#12
137.90.5
137.4137.9
Auto15.3
Teleop107.7
End18.0
Third
6864
#26
103.30.2
103.6103.5
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End6.7
blue by 6.7
6336
#18
110.10.0
110.1110.1
Auto15.5
Teleop84.7
End11.5