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Red541
4039163.1
1325157.2
6987100.1
Blue164
4968118.0
5672130.5
5024134.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562500100200300400500600541164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.10.8
157.9158.8
Auto26.7
Teleop120.3
End16.8
red by 28.2
5024
#22
134.90.1
135.1135.1
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End14.8
Second
157.21.0
151.1152.2
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End15.2
red by 26.7
130.50.2
131.0130.8
Auto16.6
Teleop99.2
End14.9
Third
6987
#28
100.10.1
100.099.9
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
blue by 17.9
4968
#13
118.00.3
117.7117.9
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3