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Red496
4039163.1
1325157.2
6987100.1
Blue125
4968118.0
5672130.5
5024134.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652420100200300400500600496125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.10.9
158.8159.7
Auto26.7
Teleop120.3
End16.8
red by 28.2
5024
#22
134.90.2
135.1134.9
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End14.8
Second
157.21.1
152.2153.2
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End15.2
red by 26.7
130.50.3
130.8130.5
Auto16.6
Teleop99.2
End14.9
Third
6987
#28
100.10.0
99.999.9
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
blue by 17.9
4968
#13
118.00.1
117.9118.0
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3