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Red382
4903168.9
5039125.5
6859119.0
Blue239
77394.7
7200138.3
2852126.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27829102004006008001,0001,200382239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.910.0
107.8117.8
Auto21.9
Teleop122.4
End24.4
red by 30.6
7200
#10
138.310.5
90.5101.0
Auto17.7
Teleop106.4
End13.0
Second
5039
#25
125.56.9
101.8108.6
Auto15.4
Teleop96.5
End11.6
blue by 1.5
2852
#15
126.911.1
116.1127.2
Auto15.2
Teleop98.5
End11.3
Third
6859
#20
119.014.0
77.791.8
Auto13.8
Teleop92.1
End11.5
red by 24.3
773
#23
94.76.7
87.594.2
Auto12.8
Teleop80.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed