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Red20
4777108.3
6331110.4
4951103.7
Blue387
4152117.6
1310156.0
1305183.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234337010020030040050060020387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6331
#16
110.45.2
106.7111.9
Auto15.6
Teleop82.0
End14.0
blue by 73.3
183.74.8
133.0137.9
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
Second
4777
#21
108.35.8
93.899.6
Auto14.7
Teleop84.7
End12.5
blue by 47.7
156.08.3
124.2132.4
Auto21.3
Teleop114.5
End18.1
Third
4951
#17
103.74.9
108.7113.6
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End8.9
blue by 13.9
4152
#19
117.64.6
101.1105.7
Auto16.6
Teleop85.3
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed