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Red130
686595.3
4968118.0
6859119.0
Blue340
2013121.5
4914151.2
5672130.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323190100200400500600700130340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6859
#20
119.011.5
91.8103.3
Auto13.8
Teleop92.1
End11.5
blue by 32.2
151.29.8
110.0119.8
Auto16.8
Teleop113.6
End20.6
Second
4968
#13
118.05.8
96.2101.9
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3
blue by 12.5
130.59.1
100.1109.2
Auto16.6
Teleop99.2
End14.9
Third
6865
#27
95.36.7
85.792.4
Auto12.2
Teleop78.1
End6.1
blue by 26.3
2013
#24
121.51.8
118.5120.2
Auto15.4
Teleop90.8
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed