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Red247
4039163.1
4968118.0
865143.8
Blue334
3543110.3
1305183.7
5672130.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309286150200250350400450500247334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.13.3
146.7150.0
Auto26.7
Teleop120.3
End16.8
blue by 20.6
183.75.8
143.5149.3
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
Second
865
#7
143.85.6
120.0125.6
Auto16.0
Teleop109.1
End20.2
red by 13.3
130.53.2
117.0120.3
Auto16.6
Teleop99.2
End14.9
Third
4968
#13
118.02.6
103.1105.7
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3
red by 7.8
3543
#14
110.31.1
109.0110.1
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed