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Red178
4777108.3
6859119.0
6864103.3
Blue412
1310156.0
4903168.9
6336110.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1843740100300500600178412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6859
#20
119.04.4
113.2117.6
Auto13.8
Teleop92.1
End11.5
blue by 49.9
168.97.6
134.3142.0
Auto21.9
Teleop122.4
End24.4
Second
4777
#21
108.32.8
100.097.3
Auto14.7
Teleop84.7
End12.5
blue by 47.7
156.02.7
140.4143.1
Auto21.3
Teleop114.5
End18.1
Third
6864
#26
103.32.0
104.8106.8
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End6.7
blue by 6.7
6336
#18
110.13.6
122.5118.9
Auto15.5
Teleop84.7
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed