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Red189
3543110.3
6323145.8
4039163.1
Blue377
4951103.7
1325157.2
5039125.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324274100200300400500189377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.11.9
150.0151.9
Auto26.7
Teleop120.3
End16.8
red by 5.9
157.23.2
129.3132.5
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End15.2
Second
6323
#11
145.83.2
135.3138.5
Auto16.1
Teleop107.6
End26.7
red by 20.3
5039
#25
125.51.0
121.8122.8
Auto15.4
Teleop96.5
End11.6
Third
3543
#14
110.32.1
110.1112.2
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End6.0
red by 6.6
4951
#17
103.72.4
112.9110.5
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed