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Red392
4039163.1
77394.7
1305183.7
Blue257
6859119.0
2386137.9
4914151.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362860100200400500600700392257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.75.9
164.0169.9
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
red by 32.5
151.22.0
146.9148.9
Auto16.8
Teleop113.6
End20.6
Second
163.11.0
152.1153.1
Auto26.7
Teleop120.3
End16.8
red by 25.3
2386
#12
137.91.8
130.0131.7
Auto15.3
Teleop107.7
End18.0
Third
773
#23
94.70.7
93.092.3
Auto12.8
Teleop80.1
End3.9
blue by 24.3
6859
#20
119.00.2
120.7120.6
Auto13.8
Teleop92.1
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed