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Red266
6987100.1
4951103.7
6323145.8
Blue342
4903168.9
4777108.3
2852126.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373410100200300400500600266342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6323
#11
145.81.6
140.0141.6
Auto16.1
Teleop107.6
End26.7
blue by 23.1
168.94.5
154.8159.3
Auto21.9
Teleop122.4
End24.4
Second
4951
#17
103.72.1
107.5105.3
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End8.9
blue by 23.3
2852
#15
126.91.4
128.2126.8
Auto15.2
Teleop98.5
End11.3
Third
6987
#28
100.11.7
96.498.1
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
blue by 8.1
4777
#21
108.32.2
96.999.2
Auto14.7
Teleop84.7
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed