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Red259
6864103.3
6336110.1
7200138.3
Blue409
6331110.4
5024134.9
865143.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573140100200400500600259409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#10
138.33.5
129.8133.3
Auto17.7
Teleop106.4
End13.0
blue by 5.5
865
#7
143.83.1
134.1137.1
Auto16.0
Teleop109.1
End20.2
Second
6336
#18
110.12.1
115.8113.7
Auto15.5
Teleop84.7
End11.5
blue by 24.9
5024
#22
134.90.3
127.6127.9
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End14.8
Third
6864
#26
103.30.2
107.5107.2
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End6.7
blue by 7.0
6331
#16
110.40.8
108.7107.9
Auto15.6
Teleop82.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed