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Red200
4777108.3
5039125.5
2013121.5
Blue343
4968118.0
77394.7
1325157.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153180100400500600200343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5039
#25
125.50.6
127.7127.1
Auto15.4
Teleop96.5
End11.6
blue by 31.8
157.22.7
145.8148.5
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End15.2
Second
2013
#24
121.50.3
119.7120.0
Auto15.4
Teleop90.8
End19.1
red by 3.5
4968
#13
118.01.2
114.1115.3
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3
Third
4777
#21
108.32.7
99.2101.8
Auto14.7
Teleop84.7
End12.5
red by 13.5
773
#23
94.70.6
92.392.8
Auto12.8
Teleop80.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed