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Red252
1310156.0
3543110.3
6859119.0
Blue232
6336110.1
6331110.4
6323145.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320261100200400500600252232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.01.2
153.1154.3
Auto21.3
Teleop114.5
End18.1
red by 10.2
6323
#11
145.80.6
143.5144.1
Auto16.1
Teleop107.6
End26.7
Second
6859
#20
119.00.2
119.9120.1
Auto13.8
Teleop92.1
End11.5
red by 8.6
6331
#16
110.40.4
109.1109.5
Auto15.6
Teleop82.0
End14.0
Third
3543
#14
110.31.2
112.0110.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End6.0
red by 0.2
6336
#18
110.11.3
112.6111.3
Auto15.5
Teleop84.7
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed