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Red307
4951103.7
4152117.6
4903168.9
Blue217
2386137.9
6864103.3
4968118.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316281100200400500600307217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.92.2
163.5165.8
Auto21.9
Teleop122.4
End24.4
red by 31.1
2386
#12
137.92.1
132.3134.4
Auto15.3
Teleop107.7
End18.0
Second
4152
#19
117.61.2
119.7118.5
Auto16.6
Teleop85.3
End11.7
blue by 0.4
4968
#13
118.01.7
115.3117.1
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3
Third
4951
#17
103.70.5
104.7104.2
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End8.9
red by 0.3
6864
#26
103.31.3
107.4106.1
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed