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Red259
2852126.9
6331110.4
3543110.3
Blue107
77394.7
686595.3
4777108.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782130100400500259107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#15
126.90.5
127.2126.7
Auto15.2
Teleop98.5
End11.3
red by 18.7
4777
#21
108.32.6
104.0106.6
Auto14.7
Teleop84.7
End12.5
Second
6331
#16
110.40.3
109.5109.9
Auto15.6
Teleop82.0
End14.0
red by 15.1
6865
#27
95.31.3
96.695.3
Auto12.2
Teleop78.1
End6.1
Third
3543
#14
110.30.7
110.8110.1
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End6.0
red by 15.5
773
#23
94.71.3
92.894.1
Auto12.8
Teleop80.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed