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Red301
4914151.2
4968118.0
6336110.1
Blue263
2852126.9
4152117.6
5039125.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072750100200400500600301263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.20.4
150.1150.5
Auto16.8
Teleop113.6
End20.6
red by 24.3
2852
#15
126.90.2
126.7126.9
Auto15.2
Teleop98.5
End11.3
Second
4968
#13
118.00.6
117.1117.7
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3
blue by 7.4
5039
#25
125.51.1
127.1126.1
Auto15.4
Teleop96.5
End11.6
Third
6336
#18
110.10.8
111.3110.5
Auto15.5
Teleop84.7
End11.5
blue by 7.5
4152
#19
117.60.9
118.5117.6
Auto16.6
Teleop85.3
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed