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Red261
6987100.1
5672130.5
1360178.2
Blue409
865143.8
1305183.7
4903168.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257400100200300500600700261409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.23.8
169.3173.1
Auto21.8
Teleop133.7
End26.1
blue by 5.5
183.72.1
177.7179.8
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
Second
130.50.8
131.7131.0
Auto16.6
Teleop99.2
End14.9
blue by 38.4
168.91.4
165.8167.2
Auto21.9
Teleop122.4
End24.4
Third
6987
#28
100.10.5
100.5100.0
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
blue by 43.7
865
#7
143.80.1
143.1143.1
Auto16.0
Teleop109.1
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned