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Red50
4777108.3
6987100.1
4968118.0
Blue307
6331110.4
4039163.1
7200138.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234306010020040050060070050307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4968
#13
118.011.7
84.496.2
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3
blue by 45.1
163.111.0
118.2129.2
Auto26.7
Teleop120.3
End16.8
Second
4777
#21
108.311.8
82.093.8
Auto14.7
Teleop84.7
End12.5
blue by 30.0
7200
#10
138.312.8
77.790.5
Auto17.7
Teleop106.4
End13.0
Third
6987
#28
100.18.8
77.786.6
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
blue by 10.2
6331
#16
110.44.8
101.9106.7
Auto15.6
Teleop82.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed