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Red179
1305183.7
4951103.7
2013121.5
Blue410
5672130.5
1310156.0
1325157.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319274100200400500600179410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.710.7
122.3133.0
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
red by 26.5
157.25.5
116.4121.8
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End15.2
Second
2013
#24
121.55.9
112.6118.5
Auto15.4
Teleop90.8
End19.1
blue by 34.4
156.09.3
114.9124.2
Auto21.3
Teleop114.5
End18.1
Third
4951
#17
103.710.6
98.0108.7
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End8.9
blue by 26.9
130.510.7
89.4100.1
Auto16.6
Teleop99.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed