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Red390
1325202.3
2056250.2
6875123.3
Blue313
2200177.8
2013167.9
4814142.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4682910100200400600700800390313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.20.0
250.1250.2
Auto28.6
Teleop179.3
End42.7
red by 72.4
2200
#15
177.80.0
177.8177.8
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
Second
202.30.1
202.2202.3
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
red by 34.4
167.90.6
167.2167.9
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
Third
6875
#20
123.30.2
123.1123.3
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
blue by 19.0
4814
#13
142.30.3
141.9142.3
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0