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Red399
1325202.3
2056250.2
6875123.3
Blue316
2200177.8
2013167.9
4814142.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4712890100200400600700800399316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.20.1
250.0250.1
Auto28.6
Teleop179.3
End42.7
red by 72.4
2200
#15
177.80.1
177.9177.8
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
Second
202.30.2
202.0202.2
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
red by 34.4
167.90.6
166.6167.2
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
Third
6875
#20
123.30.2
122.9123.1
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
blue by 19.0
4814
#13
142.30.3
141.6141.9
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0