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Red238
3683182.5
1305220.3
7329142.0
Blue356
2200177.8
2013167.9
4814142.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4373300200600800238356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.30.2
220.1220.3
Auto23.3
Teleop157.1
End40.2
red by 42.6
2200
#15
177.80.2
178.5178.2
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
Second
182.50.2
182.7182.5
Auto19.9
Teleop135.9
End25.7
red by 14.6
167.90.6
164.8165.4
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
Third
7329
#21
142.00.5
142.5142.0
Auto21.8
Teleop101.1
End17.6
blue by 0.3
4814
#13
142.30.3
140.7141.0
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0