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Red329
4476193.7
4618179.7
2386155.7
Blue342
188163.1
2706176.6
5036172.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394333100200300500600700329342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
193.70.0
193.9193.9
Auto22.4
Teleop154.1
End16.7
red by 17.2
176.60.3
175.0175.3
Auto20.0
Teleop129.5
End26.7
Second
179.70.3
179.0179.3
Auto19.9
Teleop138.2
End20.4
red by 7.0
5036
#17
172.70.4
174.4174.0
Auto23.5
Teleop129.7
End19.2
Third
2386
#16
155.70.3
155.1155.3
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
blue by 7.5
188
#18
163.10.6
160.5161.1
Auto23.5
Teleop122.3
End19.2