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Red321
4678185.8
610242.9
1334153.3
Blue398
2200177.8
2013167.9
4814142.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459310100200400500600700800321398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
242.90.2
242.6242.8
Auto26.5
Teleop175.2
End42.0
red by 65.1
2200
#15
177.80.2
178.2178.0
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
Second
185.80.5
184.9185.4
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
red by 18.0
167.90.6
165.4166.0
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
Third
1334
#37
153.30.4
154.2153.8
Auto19.1
Teleop112.6
End18.8
red by 11.0
4814
#13
142.30.3
141.0141.3
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0