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Qual 152018 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division
Red411
1334153.3
2013167.9
4618179.7
Blue259
6378163.4
4476193.7
6875123.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327363100200400500600700800411259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#5
179.70.2
173.9→173.7
Auto19.9
Teleop138.2
End20.4
blue by 14.0
4476
#14
193.71.1
202.8→201.6
Auto22.4
Teleop154.1
End16.7
Second
2013
#7
167.90.6
150.0→150.6
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
red by 4.4
6378
#24
163.40.2
164.7→164.9
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Third
1334
#37
153.30.8
159.7→158.9
Auto19.1
Teleop112.6
End18.8
red by 30.0
6875
#20
123.30.7
114.9→115.6
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed