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Red397
4678185.8
4814142.3
6978149.0
Blue266
6140116.3
6864105.9
1325202.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331313250300350400450397266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.81.7
180.7179.0
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
blue by 16.5
202.30.8
202.0202.8
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
Second
6978
#28
149.00.8
144.2145.0
Auto19.7
Teleop116.6
End15.4
red by 32.7
6140
#40
116.31.0
112.0113.0
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
Third
4814
#13
142.30.2
130.6130.8
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0
red by 36.4
6864
#35
105.90.9
101.2100.4
Auto18.7
Teleop77.7
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed