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Red319
2852140.2
2386155.7
6336125.2
Blue289
6544145.4
2706176.6
188163.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473960100200300500600700800319289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#16
155.70.6
150.5149.9
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
blue by 20.9
176.60.7
173.1172.4
Auto20.0
Teleop129.5
End26.7
Second
2852
#32
140.20.9
135.9136.8
Auto17.8
Teleop105.8
End13.1
blue by 22.9
188
#18
163.10.4
154.6154.2
Auto23.5
Teleop122.3
End19.2
Third
6336
#38
125.20.7
118.1118.8
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
blue by 20.2
6544
#22
145.40.1
144.1144.3
Auto16.3
Teleop104.8
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed