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Red319
4903174.8
6336125.2
1334153.3
Blue381
6978149.0
1285153.9
2013167.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33537702006008001,0001,2001,400319381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#26
174.80.2
179.4179.6
Auto24.5
Teleop122.7
End25.2
red by 7.0
167.90.9
151.8152.7
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
Second
1334
#37
153.30.1
159.0159.1
Auto19.1
Teleop112.6
End18.8
blue by 0.6
1285
#33
153.91.3
162.7161.5
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
Third
6336
#38
125.20.8
120.0120.8
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
blue by 23.8
6978
#28
149.01.5
146.2147.7
Auto19.7
Teleop116.6
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed