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Red400
5834129.1
5036172.7
2056250.2
Blue273
2852140.2
4936153.8
4814142.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4522470100200300400500600700800400273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.20.6
245.1245.7
Auto28.6
Teleop179.3
End42.7
red by 96.3
4936
#30
153.80.3
147.9148.2
Auto20.5
Teleop113.0
End23.1
Second
5036
#17
172.70.4
177.8178.2
Auto23.5
Teleop129.7
End19.2
red by 30.4
4814
#13
142.31.1
131.4132.5
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0
Third
5834
#23
129.10.5
122.3121.8
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
blue by 11.1
2852
#32
140.20.9
138.2139.0
Auto17.8
Teleop105.8
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
48%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed