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Red423
610242.9
6336125.2
4343146.1
Blue364
1305220.3
3161151.9
2200177.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335433200300400500600700423364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
242.91.2
238.7239.9
Auto26.5
Teleop175.2
End42.0
red by 22.6
220.31.4
213.7215.1
Auto23.3
Teleop157.1
End40.2
Second
4343
#25
146.10.7
156.3155.5
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
blue by 31.7
2200
#15
177.80.8
177.4178.1
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
Third
6336
#38
125.20.1
117.4117.5
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
blue by 26.7
3161
#29
151.90.3
154.7154.4
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned62%Face the Boss oddsEarned