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Red271
4903174.8
5834129.1
6140116.3
Blue353
1334153.3
6856121.5
4914138.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319360100200400500600271353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#26
174.81.5
175.6177.1
Auto24.5
Teleop122.7
End25.2
red by 21.5
1334
#37
153.30.0
159.8159.8
Auto19.1
Teleop112.6
End18.8
Second
5834
#23
129.10.3
124.5124.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
blue by 9.4
4914
#34
138.60.5
150.0149.5
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
Third
6140
#40
116.31.9
108.8110.7
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
blue by 5.2
6856
#31
121.50.4
118.1118.5
Auto18.9
Teleop92.7
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed