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Red246
4936153.8
6875123.3
2386155.7
Blue469
1325202.3
4343146.1
6141112.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813590100200400500600700800246469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#16
155.70.2
150.4150.6
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
blue by 46.6
202.31.3
204.1202.8
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
Second
4936
#30
153.80.3
148.2148.5
Auto20.5
Teleop113.0
End23.1
red by 7.7
4343
#25
146.11.3
153.9152.7
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
Third
6875
#20
123.30.1
115.5115.6
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
red by 11.0
6141
#36
112.30.2
106.2106.0
Auto18.0
Teleop85.0
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned