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Red419
7329142.0
5834129.1
772196.6
Blue188
6978149.0
6140116.3
5036172.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37134002006008001,0001,2001,4001,600419188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#19
196.60.7
202.0201.3
Auto26.3
Teleop143.6
End25.3
red by 23.9
5036
#17
172.70.5
178.2178.8
Auto23.5
Teleop129.7
End19.2
Second
7329
#21
142.00.5
141.0141.4
Auto21.8
Teleop101.1
End17.6
blue by 7.0
6978
#28
149.01.1
147.7148.8
Auto19.7
Teleop116.6
End15.4
Third
5834
#23
129.10.2
121.8121.6
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
red by 12.9
6140
#40
116.31.2
114.8115.9
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed