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Red264
6331111.8
6856121.5
2013167.9
Blue431
2706176.6
4914138.6
2056250.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1694780100300400600700264431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.90.6
152.7153.3
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
blue by 82.3
250.20.7
245.7246.4
Auto28.6
Teleop179.3
End42.7
Second
6856
#31
121.50.4
118.8119.2
Auto18.9
Teleop92.7
End13.0
blue by 55.1
176.60.7
171.6172.2
Auto20.0
Teleop129.5
End26.7
Third
6331
#12
111.81.1
100.2101.3
Auto17.7
Teleop77.0
End18.9
blue by 26.7
4914
#34
138.61.8
145.2143.3
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed55%Face the Boss oddsEarned