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Red329
6867135.6
3161151.9
188163.1
Blue391
5426150.7
1305220.3
6378163.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274433100200400500600700329391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#18
163.10.1
153.3153.4
Auto23.5
Teleop122.3
End19.2
blue by 57.2
220.30.0
216.7216.7
Auto23.3
Teleop157.1
End40.2
Second
3161
#29
151.91.0
153.5152.5
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
blue by 11.5
6378
#24
163.40.6
164.1163.5
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Third
6867
#39
135.60.7
134.6133.9
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End16.7
blue by 15.1
5426
#10
150.70.1
157.8157.9
Auto19.4
Teleop99.1
End31.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed66%Face the Boss oddsEarned