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Red382
4618179.7
6544145.4
4678185.8
Blue354
610242.9
4903174.8
3683182.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302451100200400500600700800382354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.80.2
177.8177.6
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
blue by 57.1
610
#2
242.90.2
244.2244.4
Auto26.5
Teleop175.2
End42.0
Second
179.71.1
174.7175.8
Auto19.9
Teleop138.2
End20.4
blue by 2.8
182.50.5
183.3183.7
Auto19.9
Teleop135.9
End25.7
Third
6544
#22
145.40.4
143.5143.1
Auto16.3
Teleop104.8
End21.4
blue by 29.5
4903
#26
174.80.1
179.6179.7
Auto24.5
Teleop122.7
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsEarned