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Red401
6978149.0
6544145.4
1305220.3
Blue265
1285153.9
6856121.5
4678185.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378305100200500600401265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.30.2
216.7216.5
Auto23.3
Teleop157.1
End40.2
red by 34.5
185.80.4
177.6178.1
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
Second
6978
#28
149.00.1
148.8148.7
Auto19.7
Teleop116.6
End15.4
blue by 5.0
1285
#33
153.91.2
160.4159.2
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
Third
6544
#22
145.40.3
143.1143.4
Auto16.3
Teleop104.8
End21.4
red by 23.9
6856
#31
121.50.5
119.2119.7
Auto18.9
Teleop92.7
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed