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Red355
3161151.9
2706176.6
5426150.7
Blue209
4618179.7
6917130.3
6140116.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408300100200500600355209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.60.6
172.2172.8
Auto20.0
Teleop129.5
End26.7
blue by 3.1
179.71.4
175.8177.2
Auto19.9
Teleop138.2
End20.4
Second
3161
#29
151.90.2
152.5152.3
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
red by 21.5
6917
#27
130.30.6
134.4133.7
Auto18.3
Teleop96.2
End16.7
Third
5426
#10
150.70.1
157.9157.8
Auto19.4
Teleop99.1
End31.4
red by 34.4
6140
#40
116.30.0
115.9116.0
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed