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Red387
4476193.7
1325202.3
610242.9
Blue299
2386155.7
6331111.8
6141112.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5151450100200300400600700800387299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
242.90.4
244.4244.0
Auto26.5
Teleop175.2
End42.0
red by 87.2
2386
#16
155.70.3
150.6150.9
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
Second
202.30.2
202.8203.0
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
red by 90.0
6141
#36
112.31.0
106.0107.0
Auto18.0
Teleop85.0
End10.9
Third
4476
#14
193.71.2
197.3196.1
Auto22.4
Teleop154.1
End16.7
red by 81.9
6331
#12
111.81.1
101.3102.4
Auto17.7
Teleop77.0
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed