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Red318
5834129.1
2852140.2
6378163.4
Blue481
6864105.9
2056250.2
4936153.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2714170100200500600700800318481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6378
#24
163.40.6
163.5162.9
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
blue by 86.7
250.20.5
246.4246.9
Auto28.6
Teleop179.3
End42.7
Second
2852
#32
140.20.5
139.7140.2
Auto17.8
Teleop105.8
End13.1
blue by 13.6
4936
#30
153.80.4
148.5148.8
Auto20.5
Teleop113.0
End23.1
Third
5834
#23
129.10.3
121.6121.9
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
red by 23.2
6864
#35
105.90.6
101.2101.8
Auto18.7
Teleop77.7
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed68%Face the Boss oddsEarned