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Red320
3161151.9
6336125.2
6917130.3
Blue338
5834129.1
6331111.8
4678185.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923470100200400500600700800320338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#29
151.90.8
152.3151.5
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
blue by 34.0
185.80.4
178.1178.4
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
Second
6917
#27
130.31.0
133.7132.8
Auto18.3
Teleop96.2
End16.7
red by 1.2
5834
#23
129.10.6
121.9122.5
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
Third
6336
#38
125.20.3
121.6121.9
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
red by 13.3
6331
#12
111.81.9
102.4104.3
Auto17.7
Teleop77.0
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed