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Red384
4476193.7
6864105.9
4903174.8
Blue314
6140116.3
6867135.6
6544145.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3912850100200500600700800384314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
193.71.6
196.1194.5
Auto22.4
Teleop154.1
End16.7
red by 48.4
6544
#22
145.40.5
143.4143.9
Auto16.3
Teleop104.8
End21.4
Second
4903
#26
174.81.5
179.2177.7
Auto24.5
Teleop122.7
End25.2
red by 39.3
6867
#39
135.61.0
133.8134.8
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End16.7
Third
6864
#35
105.91.2
101.8103.0
Auto18.7
Teleop77.7
End12.2
blue by 10.4
6140
#40
116.30.4
116.0115.6
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed