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Red399
6141112.3
4476193.7
4814142.3
Blue147
5426150.7
7329142.0
6978149.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3623280100200400500600700399147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
193.71.0
194.5193.5
Auto22.4
Teleop154.1
End16.7
red by 43.0
5426
#10
150.70.7
157.8157.1
Auto19.4
Teleop99.1
End31.4
Second
4814
#13
142.31.3
134.9136.2
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0
blue by 6.7
6978
#28
149.00.5
148.9149.4
Auto19.7
Teleop116.6
End15.4
Third
6141
#36
112.31.8
107.0108.8
Auto18.0
Teleop85.0
End10.9
blue by 29.7
7329
#21
142.01.1
143.7144.8
Auto21.8
Teleop101.1
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed35%Face the Boss oddsMissed