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Red474
1305220.3
6140116.3
4678185.8
Blue285
4936153.8
6867135.6
4343146.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242830100200500600700800474285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.30.5
216.7217.2
Auto23.3
Teleop157.1
End40.2
red by 66.5
4936
#30
153.81.2
149.9151.1
Auto20.5
Teleop113.0
End23.1
Second
185.80.6
178.4179.1
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
red by 39.7
4343
#25
146.11.7
152.2150.5
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
Third
6140
#40
116.30.3
115.6115.3
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
blue by 19.3
6867
#39
135.60.8
134.8135.6
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed