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Red322
4914138.6
188163.1
6864105.9
Blue341
1325202.3
2386155.7
1285153.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424360100200300400500600700322341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#18
163.10.6
154.8155.4
Auto23.5
Teleop122.3
End19.2
blue by 39.2
202.30.4
202.5202.2
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
Second
4914
#34
138.61.0
140.7139.7
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
blue by 17.1
2386
#16
155.71.3
152.3153.6
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
Third
6864
#35
105.91.3
103.0104.3
Auto18.7
Teleop77.7
End12.2
blue by 48.0
1285
#33
153.90.9
158.3157.4
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed