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Red431
610242.9
2013167.9
4936153.8
Blue283
4814142.3
7329142.0
6331111.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479250100200300400600700431283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
242.90.2
242.4242.2
Auto26.5
Teleop175.2
End42.0
red by 100.6
4814
#13
142.31.3
136.2137.5
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0
Second
167.92.3
157.0159.3
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
red by 25.9
7329
#21
142.00.5
144.8144.3
Auto21.8
Teleop101.1
End17.6
Third
4936
#30
153.81.0
151.1152.1
Auto20.5
Teleop113.0
End23.1
red by 42.0
6331
#12
111.81.8
106.2108.0
Auto17.7
Teleop77.0
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed