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Red308
2200177.8
772196.6
1285153.9
Blue379
2056250.2
6140116.3
2386155.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380383320340360400420440460308379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#19
196.60.7
199.7199.0
Auto26.3
Teleop143.6
End25.3
blue by 53.5
250.20.3
249.1249.4
Auto28.6
Teleop179.3
End42.7
Second
2200
#15
177.80.0
180.4180.4
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
red by 22.1
2386
#16
155.70.6
153.6154.2
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
Third
1285
#33
153.91.2
157.4156.2
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
red by 37.6
6140
#40
116.30.4
115.3115.8
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
82%Face the Boss oddsEarned64%Face the Boss oddsMissed