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Red415
4678185.8
4914138.6
1325202.3
Blue209
2200177.8
2852140.2
6544145.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403301100200500600700415209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.30.3
201.4201.0
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
red by 24.5
2200
#15
177.80.3
180.4180.1
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
Second
185.81.7
180.3182.0
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
red by 40.5
6544
#22
145.40.7
145.0145.7
Auto16.3
Teleop104.8
End21.4
Third
4914
#34
138.60.6
139.3138.7
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
blue by 1.7
2852
#32
140.20.6
142.5141.9
Auto17.8
Teleop105.8
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed68%Face the Boss oddsMissed